Some reassuring numbers

Roger L. Simon has some reassuring poll numbers amid the last minute Kerry hype by the MSM and its pollsters:

Mason Dixon was the most correct pollster in 2002, picking the right winner in 22 out of 23 polls. Their average error on each candidate was 1.8 percent.
Their results released Saturday night:

Florida: Bush 49, Kerry 45

Arkansas: Bush 51, Kerry 43

Colorado: Bush 50, Kerry 43

Ohio: Bush 48, Kerry 46

Iowa: Bush 49, Kerry 44

Michigan: Kerry 47, Bush 45

Missouri: Bush 49, Kerry 45

New Hampshire: Kerry 47, Bush 45

Nevada: Bush 50, Kerry 44

West Virginia: Bush 51, Kerry 43

Oregon: Kerry 50, Bush 44

Pennsylvania: Kerry 48, Bush 46

Wisconsin: Kerry 48, Bush 46

Minnesota: Bush 48, Kerry 47

New Mexico: Bush 49, Kerry 45

(By comparison, in 2002 Zogby picked the wrong winner in 5 out of 17, with an average error on each candidate by 2.5.)

Let's narrow our vision a bit and focus on the nitty gritty. The conventional wisdom is that if Bush can win Florida and Ohio, he wins. With this poll showing him up in both, it's an encouraging sign.

Also, the pattern of polling always gives the Dems a big edge on the weekends and corrects itself during the week. While I admit the narrowing of many of the polls this weekend has me a bit nervous, I still believe W is in good shape for Tuesday.